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What does one DO with Modeling and Simulation? Models are made to be USED clinically, for patients,
not just for presentations, and this is the blind spot in the industry. What do we do all this stuff
for? How do we USE these models? This is essentially not discussed in most PK/PD books I know. It
would be SO refreshing to see it.
Very best to all,
Roger Jelliffe
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Antibiotic stewardship using monte-carlo simulation - the infectious disease folks have it figured
out...it is changing patient care.
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Hi
Some of them are used like this:
http://www.fda.gov/Drugs/NewsEvents/ucm387698.htm
See recording links
David Turner (Simcyp)
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Dear William,
I certainly share your enthusiasm about mathematical models in infectious diseases. And there is no
doubt that Monte Carlo simulations have had a substantial benefit for selecting empirical doses of
anti-infectives, accounting for covariate effects (e.g. renal function, critical illness, obesity),
and drug development.
I believe that there will be many addition benefits of mechanism-based and empirical models in
infectious diseases for applications such as:
Individualize doses by use of a PK/PD model instead of a target concentration
Target site concentration modelling (most Monte Carlo sims are currently based on plasma)
Translation from drug discovery, early/late in vitro, animal infection models, to human clinical
trials and ultimately patients.
Individualizing therapy for specific resistance mechanisms (integration with molecular diagnosis)
Optimizing combination chemotherapy for normal and special patient populations
Interactions between PK/PD models and the immune system
Integration of PK/PD models with economic and public health models.
So the field has made great progress, but there are still many fruits to earn. The list above can
certainly be extended.
Kind regards
Juergen
Juergen Bulitta, PhD
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William,
Do you have a good reference for using monte-carlo simulation for antibiotic stewardship?
Thanks,
Michael A. Jones, PharmD
Los Lunas, NM
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